Prediction Markets on Bitcoin
"Bet on what matters. Shape what happens."
Trade predictions with Bitcoin on Nostr. No KYC. Lightning-fast settlements. Global access. When any BAO creates a market, everyone sees it. Liquidity aggregates. Intelligence compounds.
| BAO Markets | Polymarket | Kalshi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Native | ✓Lightning | ✗Polygon | ✗USD only |
| No KYC Required | ✓Nostr keys | ✗Partial | ✗Full KYC |
| Global Access | ✓No borders | ✗US blocked | ✗US only |
| Instant Settlement | ✓Lightning | ✗Slow | ✗Days |
| Social Integration | ✓Nostr native | ✗None | ✗None |
| Self-Custody | ✓Your keys | ✗Custodial | ✗Custodial |
Market Categories
Bitcoin
Price, halvings, adoption
Nostr
NIPs, clients, relays
BAO Governance
Proposals, votes, treasury
Angor
Milestones, project success
Geyser
Funding goals, launches
Podcasts
Downloads, V4V revenue
Music
Wavlake, streaming, zaps
Memes
Viral trends, culture wars
Politics
Elections, policy
Lightning
Wallets, adoption, zaps
Dev
Ships, launches, bugs
News
Events, outcomes
Lightning Fast
Instant settlements via Lightning Network
Self-Custody
Your keys, your funds - no middleman
Global
No borders, no restrictions
Collective Intel
Markets aggregate across all BAOs
Coming Soon
BAO Ecosystem